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疫 病 感 染 リ ス ク 解 析
A Risk Analysis for the Infectious Disease Spread
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豊坂 祐樹, 藤尾 光彦, 廣瀬 英雄
Yuki TOYOSAKA, Mitsuhiko FUJIO, and Hideo HIROSE
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電子情報通信学会信頼性研究会, IEICE Technical Report
R2006-29, pp.13-17 (2006.10) (平成18.10.20) 九州大学(福岡)
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Considering that the social influence due to a pandemic influenza
that human being might be confronted with in the 21st century or
an infectious disease spread by terrorism would be immense, it
is recommended that we should know the results of the spread of
disease in advance. Assuming that certain amount of persons are
infected by an disease in an artificial society and that a model
of disease spread using networks and its numerical simulation method
are introduced, we may estimate the final stage of the pandemic.
Using the results of such an analysis, we could prepare to the
hazardous conditions in case of the outbreak by newly observed
diseases or disease spread by acts of terrorism.
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network,
Monte Carlo simulation, pandemic, terrorism.
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Times Cited in Web of Science:
Cited in Books:
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